Blue Like You

Jeff, I mentioned the Nanos poll:

“…Contrary to the Nanos poll which was referenced by Weston, this latest poll shows Conservative fortunes to be on the rise.”

But at the end of the day, there is only one poll that really matters.

“a liberal minority is very possible”
I certainly hope this country isn’t stupid enough to do that until there is a better Liberal leader. We’d be in a sad mess. Hope the people of Ontario wake up in time and see the light.

Stephen p @ August 31st, 2008 at 9:14 am: excellent comment.

I find that Weston tries hard to conjur up the big, bad, nasty image that the opposition has tried to spin so often to no avail.

“..that nasty Prime Minister many can’t stand….” where’s the proof that “many can’t stand” him exactly?

I’m not getting that at all….even from Liberals who are voting Harper this time.

Spin as much as you like Liberal dudes, but Harper got more done in 937 days than the Liberals got done in a decade.

Sorry Jeffy….it’s not going to be pretty for Steffy this time, but I hear “many” Liberasl are ok with that?

Well , forget the polls , because once the campaign begins in earnest and “stumble bum” Dion attempts to explain why raising taxes is a good thing for Canadians , things are apt to change a bit !

I am not sure if Mr.Bean is the right character for Dion, he reminds me more of this guy:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Gazoo

“Gazoo often appears before Fred and Barney in random, often inopportune moments. He refers to Fred and Barney as “dum-dums” and constantly causes problems for them. Even when he attempts to help Fred and Barney out, he usually ends up causing even more trouble”

Dion very much reminds me of a small, green(shift) alien from the planet Academia. Of course, in Liberal world the dum-dums are all of us in the beer and popcorn crowd.

I also don’t think that Mr. Bean’s the right character for Dion. The Great Gazoo is closer to the mark, but
I believe I have the perfect character for Dion.

Sherman from the Fractured Fairytales on the Rocky and Bullwinkle show. Nerdy-cerebral type with glasses, who also has a dog Mr. Poindexter who advises him.

http://www.ottawasun.com/News/National/2008/08/31/6621531-sun.html

for Jeff, new poll from the polling guru,
“We just aren’t as gloomy as we were 90 days ago,” said Nanos.

Stats Canada says we narrowly missed a recession, slow improvement expected,
NOT music to Libs ears.
Almost being in recession and almost being in deficit will not make a good Liberal talking point.
That increased spending must have been in the right places, eh..
Small surplus, large tax cuts, large debt repayment, is a pretty steady hand at the wheel.

Guess Steffi didn’t like being left out of the party and decided he would come out from under the bed and meet with the PM. Bet he says, the PM is set to call an election and would not agree to comprimise to put our greenshaft into law, or meet Kyoto targets. We need the greenshaft so we can send billions to China. They need the money to pay for the olympics. And we really have to meet our Kyoto targets.

‘funny how you’re willing to use the star when it prints a poll favourable for conservatives’

Funny how you want to dismiss the Star poll and cite the Sun poll Jeff. You also never mentioned the CROP poll from Quebec.

The most acccuarate polls are the internal ones done by all parties, where they run polls in the seperate ridings, using a much higher % of the population in that riding, (much like CROP polls), and estimate the chances of the parties electoral success in that riding. The results from each riding are then pooled together, and estimates are made as to how many seats the party would be projected to win in an election, as well as give a good indication of how many close ridings there will be.

Ridings that have a narrow lead or are narrowly trailing are targeted as ones to focus on in the election, as campaigning could make the difference in winning or losing that particular riding.

For example, Liberal’s are unlikely to focus much time or effort, for most ridings in Alberta. Similarly, Conservative’s are unlikely to run hard in some Toronto ridings where they will most likely end up with a small percentage of the vote for that particular riding.

A good indication of how a party views it’s fortune in the upcoming election can be seen in the speaking points of it’s members. The fact Easter, Brison, Goodale, Thibault are now vocal gives a good indication of how Dion’s Green Shift is going over in the Atlantic provinces as well as Saskatchewan. We already know what B.C. residents think of their provincial carbon-tax, and the Conservative’s and Dippers will use that to full advantage in campaigning.

The biggest problem Dion and the Liberal’s have is he brought out this plan when Canadian’s are already getting hammered at the pumps, and when heating their homes. The Perfect Storm is now brewing (named Gustav), for gas prices to hit new highs, making Liberal’s ability to sell the plan during the campaign even more futile.

Just watching CTV’s QP. Craig Oliver is interviewing Michael Ignatieff.

Iggy says that Canadians like an underdog, with respects to the CPC having more campaign money than the Grits.

I wonder what Jennifer Wright would say to that?

Further to what paulstuff is saying … in the 2000 campaign, Chretien was savvy enough not to bother even showing up here in Calgary. Will Dion similarly understand the futility of his presence here ?

I can see that he might want a photo-op, surrounded by his doomed women candidates, and maybe a repeat of his talking point from a year or so ago–”I’ve visited Alberta more times than Harper”.

To which I would say, big deal. Come on down as many times as you want Steffi. It all means less time spent defending your home territories. On the other hand, maybe the Liberal incumbents out East will want Dion out of sight and out of mind of their voters ?

Darn, now I’m all confused on what would be best for us, as to where Dion spends his time campaigning.

Re internal polls … Gordon O’Connor was on Rutherford about a month ago, and said that the CPC internal polls had us at 36 %.

With the republican convention starting tomorrow, and hurricane Gustav ready to hit, think of the PR and votes McCain could get by putting country first. They could have a blood drive to get delegates to donate blood, a fundraiser for victims, people to volunteer to go help rebuild. The more the media brings up her inexperience the more O’s comes into play.
The media has been left with egg on its face by getting zonked on this pick. One reporter even said that, we didn’t do our job. I knew there had been one person mentioning her name for months, and today Bill Crystal was all smiles. The fact McCain had only met her once shows that he will listen to advise of others. He said he had followed her for years. She is a real outsider, and isn’t that what will bring change to the way things are done.
He has energized his base, and will have thousands of workers out there on the ground. Funny that O has written off Alaska now, as a swing state.
Hillory has disappeared from view, and O got very little positive coverage today.
Looks like the liberals will have another 4 years to hate america.

‘the nasty prime minister many Canadians can’t stand,’

‘the nasty Prime Minister that Greg Weston and Liberals can’t stand’

There, fixed that for you Greg. Hate to tell you this, but you don’t speak for many Canadians any more.

From the Ottawa Sun story:
“That’s why Harper wants an election,” [Dion spokesman Mark] Dunn said. “This is not about a steady hand. Harper has been running this country with a broken arm.”
So imagine what he could do with TWO healthy arms!

And from the Weston column:
“Almost everything the Conservatives wanted to get through this Parliament has been passed with the help of the opposition parties, especially the Liberals who capitulated on all matters threatening an election they couldn’t win.”
Add Weston to the list of people who previously characterized the Conservative government as aimless, not having a real agenda (except of course THE DREAD SECRET AGENDA that everyone and his uncle claims to know about), that nothing was getting done in Parliament … now he’s joined the chorus of people pointing out how much legislation has actually been passed despite the fact the Conservatives are in a precarious minority govenment.
Ah, consistency … I love it!

Has anyone looked at the CTV website today ? Not only is there a pic of Stephen Harper looking warm and cuddly on the top RH side, if you try to play any of the videos, instead of the usual raucous car commercial as an intro, you get the latest Conservative ad. So if you want to listen to the clip with Bob Rae, or the clip with Ignatieff, you have to listen to the CPC ad fist ! Hilarious.

I guess if you are rolling in cash, you may as well spend some before the election is called, even though Rae thinks it is “not fair”. Haven’t we heard that somewhere before ???

BTW, don’t forget to vote in the CTV online poll. Is Stephen Harper doing the right thing by calling a fall election?

Right now it’s a draw.

“And if any Tory strategists are reading this, I want you to know that your positive ads are excellent.”

I agree! Let’s see more in that vein.

Just saw John Mcallum on Question Period. Looked completely rattled talking about the upcoming election.

Kinda like the deer in the headlight look, if you know what I mean.

Speaking of the Green Shift, this isn’t something Dion will want to read - Why I recanted by David Evans:

…So far that debate has just consisted of a simple sleight of hand: show evidence of global warming, and while the audience is stunned at the implications, simply assert that it is due to carbon emissions…

The paper edition says that “David Evans was a consultant to the Australian Greenhouse Office from 1999 to 2005.”

Just heard the latest strategic poll done for ctv and the globe. Conservatives in majority territory. Fixed election date has not hurt them, as opposition has been talking election for months. Economy no. 1 issue. 49% of cdns think we are on the right track.
I wonder if these figures are correct or if ctv is trying to scare voters of a possibly majority Harper govt.

One thing voters might appreciate with a majority govt for PMSH is, no more sitting on hands by liberals, no more smear non scandals, MPs might get down to doing their job. Media would have to rein in their hate. There would be a fixed election date.
Many professions do not turn against members of said group, doctors, lawyers, and others, when accused of wrong doing. Too bad there is not someone out there that could take on various media people and bring out every pimple of their life. Wonder how they would like it if the public did nothing but talk about their affairs, live-ins, unwed daughters, drug abuse, dui charges, speeding tickets. They need to be exposed for the double standards they live by. The attacks on Sarah and her family shows how afraid of her they are. Campbell Brown, Cafferty, John Roberts, (cdn) are just a few of the slime out there.
All cbc/ctv persons also fit into the slime bucket.

Our ctv station does not carry MDL, but I will admit I thought he was fair when he was a reporter. Rex does tell it like it is and has a way with a sentence.
I just get so angry when some family problems get the coverage they do and other families are ignored. The Edwards scandal is a prime example, hidden for 8 months while he was a potential candidate for POTUS, or Clintons escapades were brushed off as It’s just sex. Perhaps I would change my mind if those reporters body language and facial expressions didn’t tell us they were enjoying every minute.
The last few days at cnn remind me of a 24/7 Springer show. Our media might have their biases but I don’t think they have the vicious hate of some networks in the USA.

[...] Weston tells us in today’s Sun that Jack is going after Stephen Harper. Apparently, Mr. Bean doesn’t even merit his [...]